International Center of Forecasting УUrsa MajorФ

   The Mathematical

        Bases of the

          Astrology

  An attempt of Synthesis Astronomy, Music, Mathematic, Programming, Linguistic, Numerology and Astrology

 

а аHithertoа ( 2004 y.) there hasnТt any obvious provability of the falsity or trustiness

of theа astrology.а This work proves that this system of consummation is the genuine science, based on the preciseа mathematical calculation.

To verifyа thisа pointа ofа viewаа the method of the defining or detailing the time of somebodyТs birthа or, as itТs called in the astrology,а the method of rectification will be used.

The time of birth is an objective indication, noted in the maternity hospital or in the

historicalа chronicsа of aа person.

ItТs useless to prove the truthfulness of the future events,а thatСsа whyа we shall try to definite a precise hour and minute of a personТs birth Ц an event, which has happened and scrupulously fixed. LetТs mention, that no any other science,

existing now, can define the correct time of the birth by the previous events of

the personТs life.

The dates of the events of the personТs life (marriages, diverse, illnesses,

removals) putа into the computerТs program УUrsa MajorФ (Demo-version) which Is

possible toа download inа the Internet free:

 аааа http://bm-astro.narod.ru

    After this procedure the time of the personТs birth ( Greenwich/ Local)

аappears on  theа display ofа theаа computer.

аааааа Time birthа onа defaultа put on 12 h.

аааааа ItТs possible to identifyа theа timeа ofа birthа ofа 16а prominentа personsа inа demo-version:

 

Albert Einstein

Adolfаа Hitler

Napoleonаа Bonopart

Vincentа Vanа Gog

Iohannа Sebastyanа Bach

Johnа Lennon

Daneа Radyar

Karl Marx

Georgeа Bush

Vladimirа Ilychа Lenin

Alexanderа Sergeewich Pushkinа Greenwich

Nikolaiа Konstantinowichа Roerich

Helenaа Ivanownaа Roerich

Alla Borisovnaа Pugachova

Boris Nikolayewich Eltsin

Vladimir Vladimirowichа Putin

 аа         ( time in GMT)

  Johnа LennonТsа birth time the computer program calculateааааааааааа 6 h 48 m

From  the  data  sourceааааааааааа ааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааа 6 h 30 m

аа Adolf HitlerТsа birth  time  the  computer  program  calculateаааа ааа 18 h 48 m

From the data sourceаааааааааааааа ааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааа ааааааааааааааааааааа 18 h 30 m

    Albert EinshteinТsа birth time the computer program calculateааааа аааааааааа 11h 46 m

From the data sourceаааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааа ааааааааааааааааааааа 11 h 30 m

Karl MarxТsа birth time the computer program calculateааааааааааааааааааа а 3h 10 m

From the data source аааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааа аааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааа2 h

      Atа theа secondа partа ofа theа bookа itа willа beа describedа theа methodа ofа designation theа timeа ofа theа birthа manually,а withoutа theа computer.

 аааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааа аааааа          Chapter 1

 ItТs necessary to detail the theory of probabilityТs meanings: probability (A) and

event. To do it letТs use the best teaching and explaining method - a Game. An Indian myth tells us that our entire Universe is Lila, KrishnaТs game.

   The probability theory is close to games. The history of it origin is connected with

аthe calculating of the combinations, happening in dices or cards. So, letТsа play.

There are 24 hours in day. LetТs divide itа into 12 dimensions.

Every periodа is putа on a card.

Another side of the cards is just the same as playing cards.

 

1.аа 0h-2h

2.аа 2h-4h

3.аа 4h-6h

4.аа 6h-8h

5.аа 8h-10h

6.а 10h-12h

7.а 12h-14h

8.а 14h-16h

9.а 16h-18h

10.а 18h-20h

11.а 20h-22h

12.     22h-24h

 

Lets make one card a winning Ц one, e.g. the 6. Now we can offerа the

12 cardТs packа toа thoseа who desire to examine his fortune. Those who have chosen this card

аwillа win the game.а Whatаа is theа probability of this result?

There are 12 cards, a card-УwinnerФ, so the necessary probability of such result P (A),

willа be equal the amount of all the same operationsа Ц taken out the cards Ц

dividingа on the amountа of the probable  variants:

 

P(A) = 1/12ааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааа (1)

а orа 0.083333.........

а

аааааа Allow aа participant of the experimentа take  out  the  card, write  the  result,

and put this card back the pack. LetТs believe our participant hasа taken the Уcard-

winnerФ once more at the second game.

ааааааа Which probability P (2) is that another attempt willа bringа himа the Уcard-winnerФ too?

 

Р(2)=1/12*1/12=1/144=0.0069444Е 

а Theа probabilityа lessened very much,а i.e. he canа metamorphoseа intoа luckyа twice only by 144а attemptions!

 а 3 time:

ааааааа P(3) = 1/12*1/12*1/12 = 0.000578

аааааааа ЕЕЕЕЕЕЕЕ..

аааааааа ЕЕЕЕЕЕЕЕ..

аа 27 time:ааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааа Р(27) = 1/12*1/12*1/12/1/12ЕЕЕ.=а 6.9837 E - 035

аа 28 time:ааааааааааааааааааааааааааааааа Р(28) = 1/12*1/12*1/12/1/12/1/12ааа = 5.77165 E - 029

 

аааааааа 30 time:аааааааааааааааааааааааааааааа P(30) = 3.942 E - 041

 

аа ааWhat we are doing all this calculating for? The method, suggested by this work,

аsupposedа toа find any unknown quantity through other knownа data. There is no 100% result. So which result must we get to consider this method scientific and worthy the credit? In other words, puttingа inа theа computerТsа the data of 100 persons, whomа ofа them programа will give the right answers the correct time of birth? May be it is -а 60%,70%, 80%, 90%? There is an opinion amongа theа scientistsа thatа the methodа isа improved if % approximate to 80.

ааааааааа So,а weа knowаа ifа theа computerа designateа the time of the birth close to +- 1 hour, so the probability of this event will be 1/12, as it followed from the formula (1)

аWhichа chanceа hasа the computerа just to guess the time of birth? ItТs possible to put inаа theа programа the generatorа of casual numbers, which willа give the points fromа 0 hаа till 24 hours.

So,а weа haveа calculatedа theа results closed to +- 1 hour (1)

ааааааааааа P (A)= 1/12 or 0.083333Е.

 

Precisely +-1/2 h (30 minutes) or 0.5 h

аааааааа 0.5h * 2 = 1h

Indefiniteness = 24 h

Now, the number of cards will be increasing:аа 24/1= 24

 

 1.     0h Ц1h

 2.     1h-2h

 3.      2h-3h

 4.      3h-4h

 5.      4h-5h

 6.      5h-6h

 7.      6h-7h

 8.      7h-8h

 9.      8h-9h

10.    а9h-10h

11.   10h-11h

12. а 11h-12h

13. а 12h-13h

14. аа 13h-14h

15. аа 14h-15h

16. а 15h-16h

17. а 16h-17h

18. а 17h-18h

19. а 18h-19h

20. а 19h-20h

21. а 20h-21h

22. а 21h-22h

23. а 22h-23h

24. а 23h-24h

There will be 24 cards

ааааааа P(A) = 1/24 or 0.004166

Probabilityа P (A) = 1/24а or 0.004166Е

Precisely а+-1/4а ofа hour ,а 0.25 of hourаа ( 15 minutesа ):

а0.25 * 2 = 0.5

 

   1.     0 h 00 mа - 00 h 30 m

   2.     0 h 30 m - 1 h 00 m

    3.а 1 h 00 m Ц 1h 30 m

    4.а 1 h 30 m Ц 2 h 00 m

    5.а 2 h:00 m Ц 2 h 30 m

    6.а 2 h 30 m Ц 3 h 00 m

    7.а 3 h 00 m Ц 4 h 00 m

 

 

     48. 23 h 30 m Ц 24 h 00 m

  So, following this way we can define the time of birth approaching to +-15а minutes .

Theа numberа of cards =а 24/0.5 = 48

So, the precision of the results will be 30 minutes.

Probabilityаа P (A) = 1/48а orа 0.020833....

 

Precisely +- 1/8 of hour ,а 0.125 of hourаа ( 7.5 minutes )

ааааааа 0.125*2 = 0.25

аааааа Indefiniteness = 24 h

ааааа The number of cardsа =а 24/0.25 = 96

аааааааааааааааааааааааааааааа P(A) = 1/96а or 0.010416... .аааааа (2)

 

Precisely +-1/10 of hour , 0.1 of hourаа ( 6 minutesа ):

ааааа 0.1*2 = 0.2

ааааааааа Indefinitenessа = 24 hours

аааааааа The number of cards =а 24/0.2 = 120

аааааааааааа ааааааааааааааааааP(A) = 1/120а or 0.00833....аааааааа (3)

 

Precisely аа+-1/15 hour, 0.066 hour ( 4minutes) :

аааааааааааааааааааааа 0.066*2 = 0.133а

ааааааааааааа Indefinitenessаа = 24 hoursаа

аааааааааа The number of cards:аа 24/0.133Е = 180

аааааааа аProbabilityа P(A) = 1/180 or    0.05555Е.аааааааааааа (4)

 

ааааа Precisely а+-1/20 of hour, 0.05 of hourаа ( 3 minutesа )

0.05*2=0.1

аааааааа The number of cardsа = 24/0.1 = 240

аааааааа Probabilityааа Р(А)а = 1/240

I.е. the probability of guessing the timeа +-3 minutes occasionally is equal to

аааааааааааааааааааааааааа Р(А) = 0.002416ЕЕЕ.аааааааааааааааа (5)

        LetТsа tryа toа defineа somebodyТsа time of birth with the help of a computer.

LetТs take the known timeа ofа birth of John Lennon. He was born 9 of

October 1940 at 6.30. Thereа wasа theа Worldа Warа II. There was summer

time inа Greatа Britainа from 25 ofа February till 31 of December 1940.

So,аа letТsа define the time by Greenwich ( GMT ).

 

ааааа GMT =а 6h 30mа Ц 1 hour = 5 h 30 m

Theа computerа foundа time of birth with the precision +-18 minutes:ааа 5h 48 m

аааааа Precisely а+- 18 minutes = 0.3 h

аааааа 0.3*2 = 0.6

аааа Indefiniteness:аа fromаа 2а hourа tillаа 22а hour:

аааааа 22 h - 2 h = 20 hour

аааааа The number of cards:а 20 / 0.3а =а 66.67

аааааа Probabilityа P(A) = 1/ 66.67 = 2.27 e Ц4

 

REаааааааааааа Rectificftions

 

 

				Lets input the events of Karl MarksТs life: Marriage 19 of July 1843 The birth of his daughters: 1 of May 1844, 26 of September 1845, 16 of January 1855 The computer give out the result: 3 h10mа by Greenwich At that time (1818) there was not usual Worldа time. Everyа town lived by its own time. Ifа the local time of Trir would be transferred to Greenwich (t0 or GMT), it will be: t0 = tm - la/15 t0 = 2 - ( 6▒38') / 15 = 1 h 33 m 28 s а( la - longitude of Trirа 6 d 38 ',а in hoursаа laа =а 0 h 26 mа 32 s )                                                   ***       I couldnТtа gain the time of  birth  of  B.N. Eltsin. The data ofа the calculating of his time of  birth  I give cause of distinguishing coincidence of  the time of birth found by noted Russian astrologersа (computer made up the data with the condition of absolute indefiniteness from 0-24 hours, i.e. the time of birth is unknown, there are only date and place). аааа The probabilityа to guess with such  scrupulous  calculated  time  of  birth  of  those 4  persons occasionally equal to: ааааааааааа 1/ 66.67 * 1 / 240 * 1 / 89.88 * 1/14.845 = 6.95 е -7
			T               The President of the International Centre of   Forecasting УUrsa MajorФ ааааааааааааааааааааааааааа аааааааVictor  Pavlovich  Istomin        The  author  will  be  glad to  continue  the  discussionа touched  upon    thisа article questions with everybody interested in them readers. You can    write to:             аааа 354207, Russia,а Sochi,а Dagomys, аGaidar Street 8, 4 аааааааааааааааааааа Istomin Viktor Pavlovich а InternetТs sites: аааааааааааааааааа http://bm-astro.narod.ru аааааа E-mail:ааааааааа vitos0@pochtamt.ru                       ist-om@mail.ru                ааааааааааааа Telephones: 8 (9882) 33-70-89